A blog consisting of short posts on politics, philosophy, economics, sports, film and literature, all a little short on certitude.
Tuesday, July 31, 2012
Global Warming
Richard Muller writes a persuasive editorial in Sunday's NY Times, claiming that his studies show a powerful correlation between the increase in carbon dioxide and the rise in temperatures over the last 250 years, a crucial link in showing global warming is caused by man's activity. By his account, he had controlled for other factors, e.g. sun-spot activity. Two comments about this: 1) he's simply describing his conclusions. But he's published his work, so others can find flaws in his reasoning if there are any. And that's the way science should work; 2) as a good scientist he doesn't confuse correlation with cause. But if his correlation is strong, then, as he rightly points out, any competing theory must account for this correlation.
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