Wednesday, January 30, 2013

Quote of the Day

"Did you know that...…that the Internet was originally designed to make sure the Department of Defense had access to the national strategic stockpile of cat pictures even in the event of a nuclear war?"  Dr. Boli's Celebrated Magazine

Tuesday, January 29, 2013

Division III Football!

If you've been following my blog (all 1 of you), then you know I'm a die-hard supporter of Wabash College.  In the fall, I keep up with the weekly outcome as the Little Giants play other members of the NCAC.  And I anguish over whether Wabash will make the playoffs. 

I also work at a school that is a member of the NCAA and am familiar with its workings: everything is conference-based.  To join Division I, for example, you must now be invited to do so by a conference.  This has its advantages.  On the other hand, rewarding colleges for being members of conferences has its negatives, such as this DIII conference which includes the University of Maine-Presque Isle and Mills College in Oakland as its members! (only a mere 3000 miles apart)      Why such a far-flung conference?  To increase the chances of qualifying for the post-season NCAA tournament.   (h/t Deadspin)

75K or a Hug From LeBron?

Given the choice, I'd think I'd rather have the 75K.  And as much as I like LeBron, I simple handshake would do, thank you.  (Courtesy of  Deadspin)

Sunday, January 27, 2013

Electronic Medical Records, cont.

Earlier, I had written here about electronic medical records (EMR).  Megan McCardle has a second post on it, in which she details another unintended consequence:  as the pressure on doctors' time increases with EMR, doctors will resort more often to template answers.  This will worsen the accuracy of records, leading to all sorts of additional problems. 

Despite the problems, it still makes sense to changeover to EMR.  However, I'm unsure one should create public incentives to do so; if the benefits outweigh the costs, surely the market will encourage EMR.  If they don't, it won't. In other words,  let the market decide!

Wednesday, January 23, 2013

QOTD

Had to repost this, courtesy of Terry Teachout:

I wasted time, and now doth time waste me. Shakespeare, Richard II

Dali and Mike Wallace's Cigarette

Here's an intro you won't see today or the foreseeable future: "My name is Mike Wallace; the cigarette is Parliament."   What follows is an interview with Salvador Dali.  Enjoy! (H/T Terry Teachout)

Tuesday, January 22, 2013

Quote of the Day

"...to comprehend by hearsay what is beyond description is clearly impossible." Socrates in Xenophon's Memorabilia.

Medical Depression

My wife and I recently had a mildly disturbing experience with our doctor the other day.  She's a friendly MD; we both like her.  Her one flaw is she likes to push the latest and greatest drugs, when a cheaper alternative might work.  I've learned to ask upfront for the cheaper drug and avoid further hassle.  But on this last visit, she carried in a large laptop, spending more time on the laptop than engaging in conversation.  She was treating my wife, but my wife and I talked about unrelated issues to cover the lulls. 

I've figured out the culprit!  Part of the Stimulus Act in 2009 included incentives for MDs to switch to electronic medical records: payments up to 44K for doctors who treat Medicare patients, and decreased reimbursements for those who don't switch.  As proposed, the switch to EMRs would encourage information flow and reduce medical costs. 

As Megan McCardle points out, the savings haven't occurred as projected, and our experience seems consistent with others'.  Higher cost, longer visit, less interaction with the doctor.  As I head into the time of life where I anticipate the need for more medical treatment, I wonder if I'd be better off staying home. 

Thursday, January 17, 2013

A Glance at Lance

I'm catching bits and pieces of Armstrong's interview, so I can't comment intelligibly on the whole interview, but one thing I've noticed: everytime Oprah asks him a tough question about his vindictive behavior, he comments in the third person: "It was a guy who....."  This is some evidence that he hasn't taken ownership of his bad behavior. 

Wednesday, January 16, 2013

Can the Lakers Make the Playoffs?

Many commentators, e.g. Magic Johnson, have pooh-poohed the chances of the Lakers in reaching the playoffs.  Their reasoning is thus:  the Lakers are currently 17-21.  To have made it in the playoffs in the Western Conference two years ago required 46 wins out of 82 games (last year was shortened by the strike).  So the Lakers would need to go 29-15 over the last 44 games to make the playoffs, a hard task. 

This reasoning strikes me as bad.  What's important is how far they are out of the 8th place in the Western Conference.  Currently they are only 3 games behind the 8th place team, Portland.  Hence they only need to win 4 more games than Portland over the next 44.*  That's much easier than Magic and others would have you believe!

*Note: they also have to worry about Utah and Minnesota who are between them and the Trailblazers, but the same chain of argumentation applies. 

Monday, January 14, 2013

Adjuncts at the University

Institutions of higher education are always looking for ways to save money.  One trend has been to lower the cost of instruction.  An easy way to accomplish this: lower the salary of the individual teaching the course.  Instead of paying a tenure-track professor to teach three or four courses, it's much more cost-effective to higher adjunct instructors to teach the same load.  A typical salary for an adjunct teaching one three-hour course at a public university in the south: $2000-3000.  The salary for a tenure-track professor teaching the same course: 3 to 4 times that amount.*

This approach to higher education may feel pressure from the federal government: according to Megan McCardle, a fight will be brewing on the status of adjunct faculty, especially over what constitutes full-time status. The reason: The Affordable Health Care Act, as anyone who is considered full-time must be given health benefits.  This writer knows of adjuncts who carry the same load as full-time professors but who do not get any health benefits.  This may no longer be permissible.  If so, the cost of higher education may suddenly jump, putting further pressure on tuition, student loans, etc.   Stay tuned for updates!

Curiosities

A man in Spartanburg, age 35, was arrested by  police on outstanding warrants.  When asked his name, he replied, "The Cisco Kid."    I'm curious as to his choice of moniker.  The tv series was in the 1950s.  There was a made-for-tv movie starring Jimmy Smits as the Cisco Kid, so maybe this is where he picked up the reference.  Other possibilities: 1) He's been od'ing on TV Land, 2) he's a fan of the group War, 3) he's into graphic novels.  Moonstone Books published a series of novels in 2009.  or 4) he's from San Francisco. 

Thursday, January 10, 2013

Suspect Refuses to Cooperate

Caught trying to sneak a cell phone and saw into prison, this visitor was detained at the gate.  Said objects were taped to his body.  He remains silent and has asked for his phone call.  All prisoners are potential co-conspirators. 

A picture of the perp:


Caligula to Appoint Horse as Consul

In related news, Venezuela to appoint sash as president.

Wednesday, January 9, 2013

James Buchanan

Radley Balko has an interesting essay discussing the importance of James Buchanan on the occasion of his passing.  If anything, Buchanan's public choice theory attempts to explain the behavior of political actors and the tenacity of government programs. Is there a competitor that does a job at least as well? 

The Appropriate Lens

This is not an original thought, but perhaps the contrastive terms--Republicans/Democrats, conservative/liberal,  right/left--have lost their usefulness.  Perhaps a better distinction in politics would be to classify those who would tend to see the state as the best tool for accomplishing good ends versus those who don't.  One word used to describe the former is "statist."  For the latter, one could use "libertarian," although this carries too much baggage.  Maybe "nonstatist" would be better. 

I was thinking of this when I read this article by Nina Totenberg, in which she discusses Missouri v. McNeely.  McNeely was stopped under suspicion of drunk driving.  He refused a breathalyzer test.  The police drew a blood sample without a warrant.  The Missouri State Supreme Court argued that this was a violation of the Fourth Amendment's proscription against search/seizure without a warrant.  Missouri argues that the state can do this in these kinds of circumstances.  The Obama's administration supports Missouri, the "statist" position I would argue.

The Obama administration has supported the use of state power in many decisions where the nonstatist would draw back.  The use of drones would be another example.  Perhaps its a function of the presidency to always support the statist position.  The previous president was not known for his reluctance to use state power.   The Pyrhhonian in me worries about this, if only that the consequences of embuing the state with so much power are hard to determine and potentially mortally dangerous. 

Tuesday, January 8, 2013

Don't Play the Lottery!

Back when I was a young skeptic, I bussed tables at a nice restaurant.  The kitchen crew included a few patients from the local state hospital, who were undergoing treatment for drug abuse.  One was a drug dealer from Indianapolis who educated me on the various ways he'd operate to stay out of harm's way.  One conclusion he had made and shared me with this: "Fast money goes fast."  While he asserted he made up to $500-$1500 per day, he never was able to put any of that aside.

A confirmation of this maxim can be found with lottery winners.  There are numerous studies which show large winners of quick sums do not do well; go here for a description of some of them.  Yesterday's news carried another reason: fast money may kill you.   Urooj Khan cashed his check from winning a million, and then promptly died from cyanide poisoning.  Police are investigating. 

Finally, for purely rational reasons, there is no reason to play the lottery.  The expectations for winning are low, and there are better avenues for acquiring the frissons gambling provides. 

Monday, January 7, 2013

Great Minds etc.

One of my favorite bloggers, Virginia Postrel, discovered this image, an ad from 1974, while doing some research:




 Coincidence?  You decide!

Friday, January 4, 2013

Bud Logic


By now, you've probably seen the commercials,such as the above.  I'm not sure what's worse: promoting a bad beer or pushing superstition.  The tag line is "It's only weird if it doesn't work."  Guess what, Bud!  It Doesn't Work!  Ergo,  It's Weird!

Some of you might wonder if I over-react.  One of the radio commercials congratulates those fans who refuse to "hang out with the bad luck guy on game day."  I suppose it would be amusing if no one was superstitious, but given evidence to the contrary, there are a lot of bad luck guys who are hurt by their irrational friends.

Thursday, January 3, 2013

Tuesday, January 1, 2013